Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a low near 63–65°F for Denver on September 6, amid highs in the low 90s and scattered afternoon thunderstorms as moisture increases. Trader sentiment clusters around this range because model runs show modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and wind patterns, which can shift minimums by a few degrees. A stronger ridge has kept recent lows in the low-to-mid 60s, well above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 53°F. Upcoming updated model guidance and NWS briefings on storm timing will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 6?
76°F or higher 59%
58-59°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
57°F or below
33%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
17%
76°F or higher
59%
76°F or higher 59%
58-59°F 49%
68-69°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
57°F or below
33%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
17%
76°F or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a low near 63–65°F for Denver on September 6, amid highs in the low 90s and scattered afternoon thunderstorms as moisture increases. Trader sentiment clusters around this range because model runs show modest uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and wind patterns, which can shift minimums by a few degrees. A stronger ridge has kept recent lows in the low-to-mid 60s, well above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 53°F. Upcoming updated model guidance and NWS briefings on storm timing will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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