Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over North Texas through the weekend, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 98–100°F in Dallas on September 6. This places the 98–99°F bin as the current market leader, consistent with consensus guidance showing temperatures slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average of 92.5°F amid ongoing late-summer warmth. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will produce heat indices near 105°F, though the official high remains the dry-bulb maximum. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture are expected before resolution, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 90s to low 100s while allowing limited upside risk if models trend warmer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 6?
98-99°F 43%
102-103°F 25%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
25%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
7%
106°F or higher
7%
98-99°F 43%
102-103°F 25%
100-101°F 25%
96-97°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
87°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$40 Vol.
20%
98-99°F
$21 Vol.
43%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
25%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
25%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
7%
106°F or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over North Texas through the weekend, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 98–100°F in Dallas on September 6. This places the 98–99°F bin as the current market leader, consistent with consensus guidance showing temperatures slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average of 92.5°F amid ongoing late-summer warmth. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will produce heat indices near 105°F, though the official high remains the dry-bulb maximum. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture are expected before resolution, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 90s to low 100s while allowing limited upside risk if models trend warmer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$61End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over North Texas through the weekend, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 98–100°F in Dallas on September 6. This places the 98–99°F bin as the current market leader, consistent with consensus guidance showing temperatures slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average of 92.5°F amid ongoing late-summer warmth. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will produce heat indices near 105°F, though the official high remains the dry-bulb maximum. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture are expected before resolution, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 90s to low 100s while allowing limited upside risk if models trend warmer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over North Texas through the weekend, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 98–100°F in Dallas on September 6. This places the 98–99°F bin as the current market leader, consistent with consensus guidance showing temperatures slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average of 92.5°F amid ongoing late-summer warmth. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will produce heat indices near 105°F, though the official high remains the dry-bulb maximum. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture are expected before resolution, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 90s to low 100s while allowing limited upside risk if models trend warmer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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