Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 6 indicate a high near 32–35°C under the influence of a lingering subtropical high, with partly cloudy skies and a modest rain chance that could cap peak heating. Basin topography and high humidity typically sustain warmth into early September, though increasing moisture and possible afternoon convection introduce variability in model outputs for the exact maximum. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, with recent days showing 32–34°C readings amid the seasonal transition. Traders appear to weigh the balance between clear intervals allowing stronger insolation and cloud cover or showers suppressing the peak, with new model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
34°C 27%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
36°C 18%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
21%
34°C
27%
35°C
20%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 27%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
36°C 18%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
21%
34°C
27%
35°C
20%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 6 indicate a high near 32–35°C under the influence of a lingering subtropical high, with partly cloudy skies and a modest rain chance that could cap peak heating. Basin topography and high humidity typically sustain warmth into early September, though increasing moisture and possible afternoon convection introduce variability in model outputs for the exact maximum. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, with recent days showing 32–34°C readings amid the seasonal transition. Traders appear to weigh the balance between clear intervals allowing stronger insolation and cloud cover or showers suppressing the peak, with new model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions