Forecast models for Chengdu on September 5 show a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures centered on 33–35 °C, with limited precipitation and partly cloudy skies under residual subtropical high influence. This produces closely matched market probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C as the leading outcomes. Local guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau emphasizes 32–33 °C with increasing cloud cover, while some international ensembles indicate potential for brief afternoon warming to 35 °C or slightly above before the Huaxi autumn rain pattern strengthens later in the week. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of increasing moisture, with updated numerical guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine the peak value ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
35°C 27%
34°C 23%
33°C 17%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
27%
36°C
14%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 27%
34°C 23%
33°C 17%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$16 Vol.
3%
32°C
$20 Vol.
5%
33°C
$2 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
23%
35°C
$0 Vol.
27%
36°C
$17 Vol.
14%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on September 5 show a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures centered on 33–35 °C, with limited precipitation and partly cloudy skies under residual subtropical high influence. This produces closely matched market probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C as the leading outcomes. Local guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau emphasizes 32–33 °C with increasing cloud cover, while some international ensembles indicate potential for brief afternoon warming to 35 °C or slightly above before the Huaxi autumn rain pattern strengthens later in the week. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of increasing moisture, with updated numerical guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine the peak value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$63End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on September 5 show a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures centered on 33–35 °C, with limited precipitation and partly cloudy skies under residual subtropical high influence. This produces closely matched market probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C as the leading outcomes. Local guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau emphasizes 32–33 °C with increasing cloud cover, while some international ensembles indicate potential for brief afternoon warming to 35 °C or slightly above before the Huaxi autumn rain pattern strengthens later in the week. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of increasing moisture, with updated numerical guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine the peak value ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Chengdu on September 5 show a narrow range of daily maximum temperatures centered on 33–35 °C, with limited precipitation and partly cloudy skies under residual subtropical high influence. This produces closely matched market probabilities for 34 °C and 35 °C as the leading outcomes. Local guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau emphasizes 32–33 °C with increasing cloud cover, while some international ensembles indicate potential for brief afternoon warming to 35 °C or slightly above before the Huaxi autumn rain pattern strengthens later in the week. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of increasing moisture, with updated numerical guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected to refine the peak value ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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