Recent official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and dry weather, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–35°C through mid-September, driven by strong solar heating, light winds, and limited cloud cover. Model consensus for September 3 points to a peak near 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon showers possible, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Higher readings above 34°C remain plausible on days with minimal precipitation and enhanced subsidence, while lower outcomes would require stronger convective activity or increased humidity suppressing surface heating. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on September 3?
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 3?
33°C 66%
32°C 21%
34°C 12%
35°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
21%
33°C
66%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 21%
34°C 12%
35°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
28°C or below
$171 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$223 Vol.
2%
31°C
$274 Vol.
2%
32°C
$839 Vol.
21%
33°C
$731 Vol.
66%
34°C
$3,034 Vol.
12%
35°C
$138 Vol.
3%
36°C
$163 Vol.
1%
37°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and dry weather, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–35°C through mid-September, driven by strong solar heating, light winds, and limited cloud cover. Model consensus for September 3 points to a peak near 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon showers possible, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Higher readings above 34°C remain plausible on days with minimal precipitation and enhanced subsidence, while lower outcomes would require stronger convective activity or increased humidity suppressing surface heating. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,155End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and dry weather, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–35°C through mid-September, driven by strong solar heating, light winds, and limited cloud cover. Model consensus for September 3 points to a peak near 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon showers possible, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Higher readings above 34°C remain plausible on days with minimal precipitation and enhanced subsidence, while lower outcomes would require stronger convective activity or increased humidity suppressing surface heating. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,155End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and dry weather, with daily maximum temperatures expected to reach 33–35°C through mid-September, driven by strong solar heating, light winds, and limited cloud cover. Model consensus for September 3 points to a peak near 32–33°C under mostly sunny skies with only isolated afternoon showers possible, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C. Higher readings above 34°C remain plausible on days with minimal precipitation and enhanced subsidence, while lower outcomes would require stronger convective activity or increased humidity suppressing surface heating. Updated short-range forecasts and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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