Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 60s for Los Angeles on September 3, consistent with the seasonal average of 64.6 °F, as a moderate marine layer with morning coastal stratus gives way to daytime clearing. Trader consensus remains dispersed because small differences in marine-layer depth, inversion strength, and onshore flow can shift the minimum by several degrees; stronger northwest winds or a deeper inversion would favor readings near or below 60 °F, while weaker flow or Santa Ana influence could push the low above 70 °F. Historical records show September 3 extremes ranging from 54 °F to the upper 70s, underscoring how local sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients create genuine forecast spread even 24–48 hours ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
74°F or higher 98%
55°F or below 85%
66-67°F 51%
56-57°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
55°F or below
85%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74°F or higher
98%
74°F or higher 98%
55°F or below 85%
66-67°F 51%
56-57°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
55°F or below
$10 Vol.
85%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$24 Vol.
29%
66-67°F
$13 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
49%
74°F or higher
$10 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 60s for Los Angeles on September 3, consistent with the seasonal average of 64.6 °F, as a moderate marine layer with morning coastal stratus gives way to daytime clearing. Trader consensus remains dispersed because small differences in marine-layer depth, inversion strength, and onshore flow can shift the minimum by several degrees; stronger northwest winds or a deeper inversion would favor readings near or below 60 °F, while weaker flow or Santa Ana influence could push the low above 70 °F. Historical records show September 3 extremes ranging from 54 °F to the upper 70s, underscoring how local sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients create genuine forecast spread even 24–48 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$87End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 60s for Los Angeles on September 3, consistent with the seasonal average of 64.6 °F, as a moderate marine layer with morning coastal stratus gives way to daytime clearing. Trader consensus remains dispersed because small differences in marine-layer depth, inversion strength, and onshore flow can shift the minimum by several degrees; stronger northwest winds or a deeper inversion would favor readings near or below 60 °F, while weaker flow or Santa Ana influence could push the low above 70 °F. Historical records show September 3 extremes ranging from 54 °F to the upper 70s, underscoring how local sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients create genuine forecast spread even 24–48 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 60s for Los Angeles on September 3, consistent with the seasonal average of 64.6 °F, as a moderate marine layer with morning coastal stratus gives way to daytime clearing. Trader consensus remains dispersed because small differences in marine-layer depth, inversion strength, and onshore flow can shift the minimum by several degrees; stronger northwest winds or a deeper inversion would favor readings near or below 60 °F, while weaker flow or Santa Ana influence could push the low above 70 °F. Historical records show September 3 extremes ranging from 54 °F to the upper 70s, underscoring how local sea-surface temperatures and pressure gradients create genuine forecast spread even 24–48 hours ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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