Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on September 3 point to a high near 75–82°F, with morning low clouds and fog from the marine layer giving way to sunshine under typical onshore flow. This setup aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F and explains why the 76–77°F bin leads at 52% implied probability, followed by 78–79°F at 26.5%. Absent any heat-wave signals or offshore winds that could push readings into the mid-80s, traders have concentrated bets around near-normal September conditions measured at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 3?
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 15%
80-81°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
65°F or below
$80 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$405 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$13 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$94 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$33 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$438 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$513 Vol.
52%
78-79°F
$846 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$16 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84°F or higher
$63 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on September 3 point to a high near 75–82°F, with morning low clouds and fog from the marine layer giving way to sunshine under typical onshore flow. This setup aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F and explains why the 76–77°F bin leads at 52% implied probability, followed by 78–79°F at 26.5%. Absent any heat-wave signals or offshore winds that could push readings into the mid-80s, traders have concentrated bets around near-normal September conditions measured at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,501End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on September 3 point to a high near 75–82°F, with morning low clouds and fog from the marine layer giving way to sunshine under typical onshore flow. This setup aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F and explains why the 76–77°F bin leads at 52% implied probability, followed by 78–79°F at 26.5%. Absent any heat-wave signals or offshore winds that could push readings into the mid-80s, traders have concentrated bets around near-normal September conditions measured at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,501End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Los Angeles on September 3 point to a high near 75–82°F, with morning low clouds and fog from the marine layer giving way to sunshine under typical onshore flow. This setup aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.7°F and explains why the 76–77°F bin leads at 52% implied probability, followed by 78–79°F at 26.5%. Absent any heat-wave signals or offshore winds that could push readings into the mid-80s, traders have concentrated bets around near-normal September conditions measured at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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