Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a marine layer influence moderating highs across the Los Angeles basin on September 1, with afternoon temperatures most likely reaching the upper 70s to mid-80s under mostly sunny conditions. This aligns with climatological norms near 77°F while reflecting the typical early-September onshore flow that limits extreme warming. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects this consensus around seasonal averages, tempered by minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that could nudge the peak a few degrees either way before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 1?
76-77°F 43%
78-79°F 37%
70-71°F 10%
80-81°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
7%
76-77°F 43%
78-79°F 37%
70-71°F 10%
80-81°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
10%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$198 Vol.
43%
78-79°F
$33 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$24 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84°F or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a marine layer influence moderating highs across the Los Angeles basin on September 1, with afternoon temperatures most likely reaching the upper 70s to mid-80s under mostly sunny conditions. This aligns with climatological norms near 77°F while reflecting the typical early-September onshore flow that limits extreme warming. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects this consensus around seasonal averages, tempered by minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that could nudge the peak a few degrees either way before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$284End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a marine layer influence moderating highs across the Los Angeles basin on September 1, with afternoon temperatures most likely reaching the upper 70s to mid-80s under mostly sunny conditions. This aligns with climatological norms near 77°F while reflecting the typical early-September onshore flow that limits extreme warming. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects this consensus around seasonal averages, tempered by minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that could nudge the peak a few degrees either way before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a marine layer influence moderating highs across the Los Angeles basin on September 1, with afternoon temperatures most likely reaching the upper 70s to mid-80s under mostly sunny conditions. This aligns with climatological norms near 77°F while reflecting the typical early-September onshore flow that limits extreme warming. Trader emphasis on the 76–79°F bins reflects this consensus around seasonal averages, tempered by minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns that could nudge the peak a few degrees either way before the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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