**Recent northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are supporting mild daytime heating over Wellington on August 30.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to maximum temperatures around 15–16°C, consistent with late-winter norms near 14–16°C, though stronger gusts up to 35 mph could enhance mixing and slightly elevate readings. Model consensus favors a peak in the mid-teens Celsius under sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with the 54% implied probability on 17°C and 26.5% on 18°C capturing the upper end of expected variability from wind-driven warming and observational uncertainty at the official station. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
17°C 54%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 3%
NEW
$12,965 Vol.
NEW
$12,965 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
20%
17°C
54%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 3%
NEW
$12,965 Vol.
NEW
$12,965 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$736 Vol.
1%
15°C
$751 Vol.
2%
16°C
$4,814 Vol.
20%
17°C
$2,172 Vol.
54%
18°C
$1,840 Vol.
26%
19°C
$515 Vol.
3%
20°C
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are supporting mild daytime heating over Wellington on August 30.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to maximum temperatures around 15–16°C, consistent with late-winter norms near 14–16°C, though stronger gusts up to 35 mph could enhance mixing and slightly elevate readings. Model consensus favors a peak in the mid-teens Celsius under sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with the 54% implied probability on 17°C and 26.5% on 18°C capturing the upper end of expected variability from wind-driven warming and observational uncertainty at the official station. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,965End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are supporting mild daytime heating over Wellington on August 30.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to maximum temperatures around 15–16°C, consistent with late-winter norms near 14–16°C, though stronger gusts up to 35 mph could enhance mixing and slightly elevate readings. Model consensus favors a peak in the mid-teens Celsius under sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with the 54% implied probability on 17°C and 26.5% on 18°C capturing the upper end of expected variability from wind-driven warming and observational uncertainty at the official station. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,965End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are supporting mild daytime heating over Wellington on August 30.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug points to maximum temperatures around 15–16°C, consistent with late-winter norms near 14–16°C, though stronger gusts up to 35 mph could enhance mixing and slightly elevate readings. Model consensus favors a peak in the mid-teens Celsius under sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with the 54% implied probability on 17°C and 26.5% on 18°C capturing the upper end of expected variability from wind-driven warming and observational uncertainty at the official station. Updated forecasts and any late adjustments in steering patterns remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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