Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 30 indicate a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible, keeping the daily high near 24–25°C according to model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local agencies. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, limits daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where radiative cooling at night further constrains the maximum. Slight differences among 24°C and 25°C outcomes stem from uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing versus convective rain, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees; traders weigh these meteorological variables alongside historical August baselines around 23–26°C. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 30?
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C or higher 12%
23°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C or higher
12%
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C or higher 12%
23°C 11%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
11%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 30 indicate a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible, keeping the daily high near 24–25°C according to model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local agencies. Persistent moisture from the ongoing rainy season, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds, limits daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where radiative cooling at night further constrains the maximum. Slight differences among 24°C and 25°C outcomes stem from uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing versus convective rain, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees; traders weigh these meteorological variables alongside historical August baselines around 23–26°C. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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