Recent forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions on August 29 under northwesterly winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C after Friday’s rain clears. Late-winter climatology in Wellington typically features highs around 13–15°C, with northerly flow advecting milder maritime air and clear skies permitting modest daytime warming, though strong gusts can limit surface heating. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past week show temperatures running slightly above seasonal averages, contributing to trader emphasis on 15°C as the implied-probability leader while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover. Updated official guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 29?
15°C 56%
14°C 22%
16°C 19%
17°C 5%
NEW
$19,381 Vol.
NEW
$19,381 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
22%
15°C
56%
16°C
19%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 22%
16°C 19%
17°C 5%
NEW
$19,381 Vol.
NEW
$19,381 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$212 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,942 Vol.
22%
15°C
$3,684 Vol.
56%
16°C
$3,042 Vol.
19%
17°C
$2,388 Vol.
5%
18°C
$2,273 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions on August 29 under northwesterly winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C after Friday’s rain clears. Late-winter climatology in Wellington typically features highs around 13–15°C, with northerly flow advecting milder maritime air and clear skies permitting modest daytime warming, though strong gusts can limit surface heating. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past week show temperatures running slightly above seasonal averages, contributing to trader emphasis on 15°C as the implied-probability leader while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover. Updated official guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,381End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions on August 29 under northwesterly winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C after Friday’s rain clears. Late-winter climatology in Wellington typically features highs around 13–15°C, with northerly flow advecting milder maritime air and clear skies permitting modest daytime warming, though strong gusts can limit surface heating. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past week show temperatures running slightly above seasonal averages, contributing to trader emphasis on 15°C as the implied-probability leader while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover. Updated official guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,381End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate mainly fine conditions on August 29 under northwesterly winds, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C after Friday’s rain clears. Late-winter climatology in Wellington typically features highs around 13–15°C, with northerly flow advecting milder maritime air and clear skies permitting modest daytime warming, though strong gusts can limit surface heating. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past week show temperatures running slightly above seasonal averages, contributing to trader emphasis on 15°C as the implied-probability leader while leaving room for 14°C or 16°C depending on exact wind timing and cloud cover. Updated official guidance remains the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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