Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 80°F for Dallas on August 29. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s further limit temperature drops, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise allow deeper cooling. Recent model runs show only minor spread in the exact minimum, producing the tight clustering around the 78–83°F bins as traders weigh subtle differences in advection and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August lows average 75°F, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology and sustains the elevated floor. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 29th will refine the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 29?
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 28%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 28%
82-83°F 28%
86-87°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
71°F or below
$86 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$16 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
15%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 80°F for Dallas on August 29. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s further limit temperature drops, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise allow deeper cooling. Recent model runs show only minor spread in the exact minimum, producing the tight clustering around the 78–83°F bins as traders weigh subtle differences in advection and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August lows average 75°F, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology and sustains the elevated floor. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 29th will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$138End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 80°F for Dallas on August 29. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s further limit temperature drops, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise allow deeper cooling. Recent model runs show only minor spread in the exact minimum, producing the tight clustering around the 78–83°F bins as traders weigh subtle differences in advection and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August lows average 75°F, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology and sustains the elevated floor. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 29th will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$138End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are keeping overnight radiative cooling modest, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to a low near 80°F for Dallas on August 29. Elevated dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s further limit temperature drops, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise allow deeper cooling. Recent model runs show only minor spread in the exact minimum, producing the tight clustering around the 78–83°F bins as traders weigh subtle differences in advection and boundary-layer moisture. Historical August lows average 75°F, underscoring how the current pattern deviates from climatology and sustains the elevated floor. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations on the 29th will refine the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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