Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 28 will likely reach the upper 20s °C, with trader consensus clustered around 27–29 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective development. A passing trough and associated instability are expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms, which could cap daytime highs through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced solar insolation despite initially warm advection from the east. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, while model spreads arise from differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 28?
28°C 23%
29°C 20%
27°C 17%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
17%
28°C
23%
29°C
21%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 23%
29°C 20%
27°C 17%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$33 Vol.
7%
24°C
$20 Vol.
4%
25°C
$121 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$89 Vol.
23%
29°C
$146 Vol.
21%
30°C
$224 Vol.
14%
31°C
$15 Vol.
3%
32°C
$11 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 28 will likely reach the upper 20s °C, with trader consensus clustered around 27–29 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective development. A passing trough and associated instability are expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms, which could cap daytime highs through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced solar insolation despite initially warm advection from the east. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, while model spreads arise from differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$659End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 28 will likely reach the upper 20s °C, with trader consensus clustered around 27–29 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective development. A passing trough and associated instability are expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms, which could cap daytime highs through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced solar insolation despite initially warm advection from the east. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, while model spreads arise from differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$659End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate peak temperatures in Munich on August 28 will likely reach the upper 20s °C, with trader consensus clustered around 27–29 °C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective development. A passing trough and associated instability are expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms, which could cap daytime highs through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced solar insolation despite initially warm advection from the east. Historical August averages near 23 °C provide context, while model spreads arise from differences in timing and intensity of precipitation. Updated National Meteorological Service runs and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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