Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a daytime high in Miami on August 26 in the upper 80s to low 90s, with 70% or higher odds of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon under a moist southeasterly flow. Cloud cover, rain-cooled air, and sea-breeze convection typically suppress peak readings below the seasonal 90–91 °F climatological average, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91 °F bins. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or tropical disturbance expected to alter the pattern before the 26th; any delay in storm initiation could allow brief spikes toward 92–93 °F, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 26?
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 39%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
48%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 48%
88-89°F 39%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$47 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$47 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$47 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$47 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$171 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$351 Vol.
39%
90-91°F
$373 Vol.
48%
92-93°F
$157 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$62 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$47 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a daytime high in Miami on August 26 in the upper 80s to low 90s, with 70% or higher odds of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon under a moist southeasterly flow. Cloud cover, rain-cooled air, and sea-breeze convection typically suppress peak readings below the seasonal 90–91 °F climatological average, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91 °F bins. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or tropical disturbance expected to alter the pattern before the 26th; any delay in storm initiation could allow brief spikes toward 92–93 °F, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,346End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a daytime high in Miami on August 26 in the upper 80s to low 90s, with 70% or higher odds of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon under a moist southeasterly flow. Cloud cover, rain-cooled air, and sea-breeze convection typically suppress peak readings below the seasonal 90–91 °F climatological average, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91 °F bins. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or tropical disturbance expected to alter the pattern before the 26th; any delay in storm initiation could allow brief spikes toward 92–93 °F, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,346End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a daytime high in Miami on August 26 in the upper 80s to low 90s, with 70% or higher odds of showers and thunderstorms developing by afternoon under a moist southeasterly flow. Cloud cover, rain-cooled air, and sea-breeze convection typically suppress peak readings below the seasonal 90–91 °F climatological average, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on the 88–91 °F bins. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong high-pressure ridge or tropical disturbance expected to alter the pattern before the 26th; any delay in storm initiation could allow brief spikes toward 92–93 °F, while earlier or heavier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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