Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Munich's August 25 maximum likely settling near 21–23 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge with increasing cloud cover and possible late-day showers. This narrow range reflects modest daytime heating, light easterly flow, and surface dew points that limit convective lift, keeping values close to late-August climatological normals of roughly 22–24 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 21 °C because ensemble spreads indicate a modest downward bias if showers arrive earlier than currently projected, while the 23 °C-or-higher bracket captures any delay in cloud build-up or slightly stronger insolation. Updated model runs and official observations through August 24 will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 25?
21°C 28%
23°C or higher 23%
22°C 19%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
16%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
23%
21°C 28%
23°C or higher 23%
22°C 19%
20°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$22 Vol.
16%
21°C
$12 Vol.
28%
22°C
$52 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$74 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Munich's August 25 maximum likely settling near 21–23 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge with increasing cloud cover and possible late-day showers. This narrow range reflects modest daytime heating, light easterly flow, and surface dew points that limit convective lift, keeping values close to late-August climatological normals of roughly 22–24 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 21 °C because ensemble spreads indicate a modest downward bias if showers arrive earlier than currently projected, while the 23 °C-or-higher bracket captures any delay in cloud build-up or slightly stronger insolation. Updated model runs and official observations through August 24 will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$177End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Munich's August 25 maximum likely settling near 21–23 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge with increasing cloud cover and possible late-day showers. This narrow range reflects modest daytime heating, light easterly flow, and surface dew points that limit convective lift, keeping values close to late-August climatological normals of roughly 22–24 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 21 °C because ensemble spreads indicate a modest downward bias if showers arrive earlier than currently projected, while the 23 °C-or-higher bracket captures any delay in cloud build-up or slightly stronger insolation. Updated model runs and official observations through August 24 will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$177End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Munich's August 25 maximum likely settling near 21–23 °C under a weak high-pressure ridge with increasing cloud cover and possible late-day showers. This narrow range reflects modest daytime heating, light easterly flow, and surface dew points that limit convective lift, keeping values close to late-August climatological normals of roughly 22–24 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 21 °C because ensemble spreads indicate a modest downward bias if showers arrive earlier than currently projected, while the 23 °C-or-higher bracket captures any delay in cloud build-up or slightly stronger insolation. Updated model runs and official observations through August 24 will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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