Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 23 project a high near 82°F, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and partial clearing after morning fog and showers. Humid air masses and scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the low 80s or allow brief warming into the mid-80s if storms remain isolated. Recent model guidance shows strong consensus around these values amid typical late-August steering patterns, with no extreme heat advection or blocking highs altering the outlook. Trader emphasis on the 82-83°F bin reflects this blended forecast consensus and the resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$259 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$177 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,125 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$442 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$1,032 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$928 Vol.
48%
84-85°F
$1,121 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$244 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$125 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$248 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 23 project a high near 82°F, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and partial clearing after morning fog and showers. Humid air masses and scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the low 80s or allow brief warming into the mid-80s if storms remain isolated. Recent model guidance shows strong consensus around these values amid typical late-August steering patterns, with no extreme heat advection or blocking highs altering the outlook. Trader emphasis on the 82-83°F bin reflects this blended forecast consensus and the resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,834End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 23 project a high near 82°F, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and partial clearing after morning fog and showers. Humid air masses and scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the low 80s or allow brief warming into the mid-80s if storms remain isolated. Recent model guidance shows strong consensus around these values amid typical late-August steering patterns, with no extreme heat advection or blocking highs altering the outlook. Trader emphasis on the 82-83°F bin reflects this blended forecast consensus and the resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,834End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 23 project a high near 82°F, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow and partial clearing after morning fog and showers. Humid air masses and scattered afternoon convection introduce uncertainty that could cap temperatures in the low 80s or allow brief warming into the mid-80s if storms remain isolated. Recent model guidance shows strong consensus around these values amid typical late-August steering patterns, with no extreme heat advection or blocking highs altering the outlook. Trader emphasis on the 82-83°F bin reflects this blended forecast consensus and the resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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