Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City on August 23 point to an overnight low near 67°F amid partly cloudy skies, lingering humidity, and a 30-50% chance of showers that reduce radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages of 67.5°F for the date and recent observed minima in the low-to-mid 60s, tempered by urban heat island effects and weak steering flow. Model consensus favors minimums in the upper 60s, driving the market-implied odds where the 70-71°F bin leads at 44.5% and 68-69°F follows at 29%, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty ranges and potential for slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$10 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$78 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$25 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$44 Vol.
35%
70-71°F
$57 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$47 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$76 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$143 Vol.
2%
78°F or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City on August 23 point to an overnight low near 67°F amid partly cloudy skies, lingering humidity, and a 30-50% chance of showers that reduce radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages of 67.5°F for the date and recent observed minima in the low-to-mid 60s, tempered by urban heat island effects and weak steering flow. Model consensus favors minimums in the upper 60s, driving the market-implied odds where the 70-71°F bin leads at 44.5% and 68-69°F follows at 29%, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty ranges and potential for slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$510End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City on August 23 point to an overnight low near 67°F amid partly cloudy skies, lingering humidity, and a 30-50% chance of showers that reduce radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages of 67.5°F for the date and recent observed minima in the low-to-mid 60s, tempered by urban heat island effects and weak steering flow. Model consensus favors minimums in the upper 60s, driving the market-implied odds where the 70-71°F bin leads at 44.5% and 68-69°F follows at 29%, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty ranges and potential for slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$510End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for New York City on August 23 point to an overnight low near 67°F amid partly cloudy skies, lingering humidity, and a 30-50% chance of showers that reduce radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological averages of 67.5°F for the date and recent observed minima in the low-to-mid 60s, tempered by urban heat island effects and weak steering flow. Model consensus favors minimums in the upper 60s, driving the market-implied odds where the 70-71°F bin leads at 44.5% and 68-69°F follows at 29%, reflecting trader weighting of forecast uncertainty ranges and potential for slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions