National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime maximum near 80°F at Los Angeles International Airport and around 93°F downtown on August 23, 2026, under persistent onshore flow and a morning marine layer that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where sea breezes and low-level stratus typically cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s or below at official stations, consistent with recent observed highs of 90–94°F downtown and cooler coastal readings. Multiple model runs show stable southwest winds of 10–15 mph with minimal afternoon cloud cover, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability for 91°F or below. A realistic shift would require an abrupt change to offshore Santa Ana winds or a significant warming bias in final model guidance, neither of which current data indicate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 98.6%
100-101°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
108-109°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
91°F or below 98.6%
100-101°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
108-109°F <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
$351 Vol.
99%
92-93°F
$76 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$85 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$86 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$190 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$61 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$66 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$68 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$106 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$82 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime maximum near 80°F at Los Angeles International Airport and around 93°F downtown on August 23, 2026, under persistent onshore flow and a morning marine layer that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where sea breezes and low-level stratus typically cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s or below at official stations, consistent with recent observed highs of 90–94°F downtown and cooler coastal readings. Multiple model runs show stable southwest winds of 10–15 mph with minimal afternoon cloud cover, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability for 91°F or below. A realistic shift would require an abrupt change to offshore Santa Ana winds or a significant warming bias in final model guidance, neither of which current data indicate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,266End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime maximum near 80°F at Los Angeles International Airport and around 93°F downtown on August 23, 2026, under persistent onshore flow and a morning marine layer that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where sea breezes and low-level stratus typically cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s or below at official stations, consistent with recent observed highs of 90–94°F downtown and cooler coastal readings. Multiple model runs show stable southwest winds of 10–15 mph with minimal afternoon cloud cover, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability for 91°F or below. A realistic shift would require an abrupt change to offshore Santa Ana winds or a significant warming bias in final model guidance, neither of which current data indicate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,266End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime maximum near 80°F at Los Angeles International Airport and around 93°F downtown on August 23, 2026, under persistent onshore flow and a morning marine layer that limits afternoon heating. This setup aligns with late-August climatology, where sea breezes and low-level stratus typically cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s or below at official stations, consistent with recent observed highs of 90–94°F downtown and cooler coastal readings. Multiple model runs show stable southwest winds of 10–15 mph with minimal afternoon cloud cover, reinforcing trader consensus at 98.5% implied probability for 91°F or below. A realistic shift would require an abrupt change to offshore Santa Ana winds or a significant warming bias in final model guidance, neither of which current data indicate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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