Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from regional convection, which is expected to cap daytime heating compared to the clearer conditions of recent days. Official guidance from METMalaysia lists a maximum of 34°C, while other models range from 31–33°C depending on the timing and extent of rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August highs average near 33°C, with peaks typically occurring under minimal cloud cover in the early afternoon. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects trader assessment of this variability in storm timing and intensity, alongside the narrow historical range for daily maxima in the humid tropical setting. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
32°C 54%
33°C 30%
34°C 25%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
15%
32°C
33%
33°C
30%
34°C
25%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
8%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 30%
34°C 25%
31°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$25 Vol.
3%
30°C
$30 Vol.
8%
31°C
$25 Vol.
15%
32°C
$25 Vol.
33%
33°C
$0 Vol.
30%
34°C
$39 Vol.
25%
35°C
$5 Vol.
8%
36°C
$3 Vol.
3%
37°C
$5 Vol.
8%
38°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from regional convection, which is expected to cap daytime heating compared to the clearer conditions of recent days. Official guidance from METMalaysia lists a maximum of 34°C, while other models range from 31–33°C depending on the timing and extent of rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August highs average near 33°C, with peaks typically occurring under minimal cloud cover in the early afternoon. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects trader assessment of this variability in storm timing and intensity, alongside the narrow historical range for daily maxima in the humid tropical setting. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$159End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from regional convection, which is expected to cap daytime heating compared to the clearer conditions of recent days. Official guidance from METMalaysia lists a maximum of 34°C, while other models range from 31–33°C depending on the timing and extent of rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August highs average near 33°C, with peaks typically occurring under minimal cloud cover in the early afternoon. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects trader assessment of this variability in storm timing and intensity, alongside the narrow historical range for daily maxima in the humid tropical setting. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 point to scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from regional convection, which is expected to cap daytime heating compared to the clearer conditions of recent days. Official guidance from METMalaysia lists a maximum of 34°C, while other models range from 31–33°C depending on the timing and extent of rainfall that reduces solar insolation. Historical August highs average near 33°C, with peaks typically occurring under minimal cloud cover in the early afternoon. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects trader assessment of this variability in storm timing and intensity, alongside the narrow historical range for daily maxima in the humid tropical setting. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these distinctions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions