The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (48%) and 31°C-or-higher (47%) minimum temperatures for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range model guidance for nocturnal cooling just 48 hours ahead. In the city’s tropical urban setting, minimum temperatures hinge on factors including cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppress radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture from the southwest monsoon, and local heat-island effects that can elevate overnight readings by 2–3°C relative to rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show divergent handling of an approaching equatorial wave, producing a wide envelope of possible minima around the 24–27°C climatological range. Updated model cycles and Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
21°C or below 97%
31°C or higher 96%
26°C 46%
29°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
97%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
23%
29°C
45%
30°C
45%
31°C or higher
96%
21°C or below 97%
31°C or higher 96%
26°C 46%
29°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
97%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$4 Vol.
23%
29°C
$5 Vol.
45%
30°C
$5 Vol.
45%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (48%) and 31°C-or-higher (47%) minimum temperatures for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range model guidance for nocturnal cooling just 48 hours ahead. In the city’s tropical urban setting, minimum temperatures hinge on factors including cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppress radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture from the southwest monsoon, and local heat-island effects that can elevate overnight readings by 2–3°C relative to rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show divergent handling of an approaching equatorial wave, producing a wide envelope of possible minima around the 24–27°C climatological range. Updated model cycles and Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$24End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (48%) and 31°C-or-higher (47%) minimum temperatures for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range model guidance for nocturnal cooling just 48 hours ahead. In the city’s tropical urban setting, minimum temperatures hinge on factors including cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppress radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture from the southwest monsoon, and local heat-island effects that can elevate overnight readings by 2–3°C relative to rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show divergent handling of an approaching equatorial wave, producing a wide envelope of possible minima around the 24–27°C climatological range. Updated model cycles and Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (48%) and 31°C-or-higher (47%) minimum temperatures for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range model guidance for nocturnal cooling just 48 hours ahead. In the city’s tropical urban setting, minimum temperatures hinge on factors including cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppress radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture from the southwest monsoon, and local heat-island effects that can elevate overnight readings by 2–3°C relative to rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show divergent handling of an approaching equatorial wave, producing a wide envelope of possible minima around the 24–27°C climatological range. Updated model cycles and Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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