Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, with model consensus centering near 31–32°C amid scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating. Recent days have seen hotter readings near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approach of a disturbance favors afternoon convection, which historically caps daily maxima in late-summer Beijing. This uncertainty around exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts keeps the 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines near 30°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 25?
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
34°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
12%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
34°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
5%
29°C
$20 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
11%
31°C
$25 Vol.
25%
32°C
$32 Vol.
30%
33°C
$49 Vol.
24%
34°C
$24 Vol.
12%
35°C
$10 Vol.
7%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, with model consensus centering near 31–32°C amid scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating. Recent days have seen hotter readings near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approach of a disturbance favors afternoon convection, which historically caps daily maxima in late-summer Beijing. This uncertainty around exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts keeps the 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines near 30°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$186End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, with model consensus centering near 31–32°C amid scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating. Recent days have seen hotter readings near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approach of a disturbance favors afternoon convection, which historically caps daily maxima in late-summer Beijing. This uncertainty around exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts keeps the 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines near 30°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$186End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing's August 25 high will likely fall in the low 30s Celsius, with model consensus centering near 31–32°C amid scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating. Recent days have seen hotter readings near 33–35°C under clearer skies, but the approach of a disturbance favors afternoon convection, which historically caps daily maxima in late-summer Beijing. This uncertainty around exact cloud timing and rainfall amounts keeps the 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given current steering patterns and climatological baselines near 30°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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