Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
43%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
6%
30°C
$191 Vol.
14%
31°C
$574 Vol.
43%
32°C
$657 Vol.
32%
33°C
$16 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,465End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,465End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models and agencies converge on a maximum of 31–32 °C for Shanghai on 25 August, with partly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and only isolated light showers that are unlikely to suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31 °C (42.5 %) and 32 °C (31 %), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-August subtropical conditions under a stable ridge and above-average seasonal warmth. Updated guidance issued in the past 48 hours shows minimal day-to-day spread, keeping lower or higher extremes below 10 % probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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