Recent forecast models from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to multi-cloud skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon flow that has maintained daytime highs near 31–32°C through late August, with limited cloud cover expected to permit strong solar heating. Current conditions on August 22–23 feature scattered showers and slightly lower maxima around 30–31°C, setting up a modest warming trend. Model consensus clusters tightly around 32°C, though minor variations in timing or moisture could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
32°C 52%
31°C 32%
33°C 10%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
32%
32°C
52%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 52%
31°C 32%
33°C 10%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
1%
29°C
$32 Vol.
4%
30°C
$20 Vol.
7%
31°C
$86 Vol.
32%
32°C
$913 Vol.
52%
33°C
$26 Vol.
10%
34°C
$41 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$39 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to multi-cloud skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon flow that has maintained daytime highs near 31–32°C through late August, with limited cloud cover expected to permit strong solar heating. Current conditions on August 22–23 feature scattered showers and slightly lower maxima around 30–31°C, setting up a modest warming trend. Model consensus clusters tightly around 32°C, though minor variations in timing or moisture could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,297End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to multi-cloud skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon flow that has maintained daytime highs near 31–32°C through late August, with limited cloud cover expected to permit strong solar heating. Current conditions on August 22–23 feature scattered showers and slightly lower maxima around 30–31°C, setting up a modest warming trend. Model consensus clusters tightly around 32°C, though minor variations in timing or moisture could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,297End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles indicate a high of 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 24, 2026, under partly cloudy to multi-cloud skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning stems from persistent subtropical high pressure and monsoon flow that has maintained daytime highs near 31–32°C through late August, with limited cloud cover expected to permit strong solar heating. Current conditions on August 22–23 feature scattered showers and slightly lower maxima around 30–31°C, setting up a modest warming trend. Model consensus clusters tightly around 32°C, though minor variations in timing or moisture could shift outcomes toward 31°C or 33°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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