Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 57–60°F for Seattle on August 26, driven by mild southwest flow, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the moderating influence of Puget Sound. Recent conditions feature daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s with light winds, producing overnight lows close to seasonal normals of 56°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 52% and 50.5% implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower odds for 60°F+ or sub-55°F outcomes capture uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized variations. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 26?
58-59°F 51%
56-57°F 49%
60-61°F 25%
62-63°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
49°F or below
10%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
14%
68°F or higher
10%
58-59°F 51%
56-57°F 49%
60-61°F 25%
62-63°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Vol.
10%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
15%
52-53°F
$20 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
15%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
49%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
51%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
17%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
16%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
14%
68°F or higher
$5 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 57–60°F for Seattle on August 26, driven by mild southwest flow, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the moderating influence of Puget Sound. Recent conditions feature daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s with light winds, producing overnight lows close to seasonal normals of 56°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 52% and 50.5% implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower odds for 60°F+ or sub-55°F outcomes capture uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized variations. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 57–60°F for Seattle on August 26, driven by mild southwest flow, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the moderating influence of Puget Sound. Recent conditions feature daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s with light winds, producing overnight lows close to seasonal normals of 56°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 52% and 50.5% implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower odds for 60°F+ or sub-55°F outcomes capture uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized variations. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate a minimum temperature near 57–60°F for Seattle on August 26, driven by mild southwest flow, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the moderating influence of Puget Sound. Recent conditions feature daytime highs in the mid-70s to low-80s with light winds, producing overnight lows close to seasonal normals of 56°F. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 52% and 50.5% implied probabilities for the 58–59°F and 56–57°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower odds for 60°F+ or sub-55°F outcomes capture uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized variations. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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