Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 33°C daily maximum in Kuala Lumpur on August 27, consistent with the city’s late-August climatology where average highs reach 32–33°C amid southwest monsoon influences. Numerical weather models show persistent high humidity, scattered convection, and moderate cloud cover that typically suppress extremes, keeping peaks near or slightly above the seasonal norm. Historical records indicate temperatures of 35°C or higher remain uncommon without prolonged dry spells or suppressed rainfall, while sub-31°C readings would require atypical widespread showers or altered steering patterns. Fresh model updates and observational data from regional meteorological agencies over the coming 48 hours will provide the key inputs for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 27?
33°C 39%
34°C 24%
32°C 19%
30°C 14%
28°C or below
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
10%
32°C
19%
33°C
39%
34°C
24%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 24%
32°C 19%
30°C 14%
28°C or below
9%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
10%
32°C
19%
33°C
39%
34°C
24%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 33°C daily maximum in Kuala Lumpur on August 27, consistent with the city’s late-August climatology where average highs reach 32–33°C amid southwest monsoon influences. Numerical weather models show persistent high humidity, scattered convection, and moderate cloud cover that typically suppress extremes, keeping peaks near or slightly above the seasonal norm. Historical records indicate temperatures of 35°C or higher remain uncommon without prolonged dry spells or suppressed rainfall, while sub-31°C readings would require atypical widespread showers or altered steering patterns. Fresh model updates and observational data from regional meteorological agencies over the coming 48 hours will provide the key inputs for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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