Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on August 27 point to a mild winter high near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly flow, supporting the market's clustering around 23–24°C. Primary drivers include the absence of strong cold fronts or berg winds, modest daytime solar insolation typical for late August, and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and SAWS showing limited intensification potential. Minor spreads arise from cloud-cover variations and steering patterns that could add or subtract 1–2°C, keeping probabilities for 22–25°C outcomes relatively balanced two days out. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 27?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 27?
23°C 32%
24°C 30%
25°C or higher 24%
21°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
22%
22°C
22%
23°C
32%
24°C
30%
25°C or higher
24%
23°C 32%
24°C 30%
25°C or higher 24%
21°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$149 Vol.
5%
18°C
$166 Vol.
5%
19°C
$10 Vol.
5%
20°C
$10 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$6 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on August 27 point to a mild winter high near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly flow, supporting the market's clustering around 23–24°C. Primary drivers include the absence of strong cold fronts or berg winds, modest daytime solar insolation typical for late August, and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and SAWS showing limited intensification potential. Minor spreads arise from cloud-cover variations and steering patterns that could add or subtract 1–2°C, keeping probabilities for 22–25°C outcomes relatively balanced two days out. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$341End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on August 27 point to a mild winter high near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly flow, supporting the market's clustering around 23–24°C. Primary drivers include the absence of strong cold fronts or berg winds, modest daytime solar insolation typical for late August, and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and SAWS showing limited intensification potential. Minor spreads arise from cloud-cover variations and steering patterns that could add or subtract 1–2°C, keeping probabilities for 22–25°C outcomes relatively balanced two days out. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$341End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Cape Town on August 27 point to a mild winter high near 19–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly flow, supporting the market's clustering around 23–24°C. Primary drivers include the absence of strong cold fronts or berg winds, modest daytime solar insolation typical for late August, and model consensus from sources like the Met Office and SAWS showing limited intensification potential. Minor spreads arise from cloud-cover variations and steering patterns that could add or subtract 1–2°C, keeping probabilities for 22–25°C outcomes relatively balanced two days out. Updated runs from NOAA and local agencies will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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