Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, as onshore marine flow and a moderating marine layer temper the recent heat wave that pushed inland areas above 95°F earlier in the week. Historical late-August climatology centers around 84–85°F at downtown stations, with coastal influences often capping readings near 82°F at monitoring sites like LAX. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include upside risk from any delay in sea-breeze development or residual high pressure, keeping the 82–85°F range the clear market favorite while leaving room for modest adjustments ahead of the final observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
$92 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$32 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$321 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$164 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$2,331 Vol.
42%
84-85°F
$327 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$122 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$87 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$82 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$32 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, as onshore marine flow and a moderating marine layer temper the recent heat wave that pushed inland areas above 95°F earlier in the week. Historical late-August climatology centers around 84–85°F at downtown stations, with coastal influences often capping readings near 82°F at monitoring sites like LAX. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include upside risk from any delay in sea-breeze development or residual high pressure, keeping the 82–85°F range the clear market favorite while leaving room for modest adjustments ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,623End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, as onshore marine flow and a moderating marine layer temper the recent heat wave that pushed inland areas above 95°F earlier in the week. Historical late-August climatology centers around 84–85°F at downtown stations, with coastal influences often capping readings near 82°F at monitoring sites like LAX. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include upside risk from any delay in sea-breeze development or residual high pressure, keeping the 82–85°F range the clear market favorite while leaving room for modest adjustments ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,623End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, as onshore marine flow and a moderating marine layer temper the recent heat wave that pushed inland areas above 95°F earlier in the week. Historical late-August climatology centers around 84–85°F at downtown stations, with coastal influences often capping readings near 82°F at monitoring sites like LAX. Ensemble spreads remain modest but include upside risk from any delay in sea-breeze development or residual high pressure, keeping the 82–85°F range the clear market favorite while leaving room for modest adjustments ahead of the final observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions