Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into August 24 with light southwest winds, supporting radiative cooling moderated by the Pacific marine layer and resulting in expected lows in the low 70s°F. Trader consensus clustering on 68–71°F reflects models showing slightly stronger onshore flow or greater nocturnal cooling than the baseline NWS guidance of 73°F, consistent with typical August variability at coastal stations like LAX where sea breezes frequently suppress minima below inland readings. Clear conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could limit cooling toward 72°F or above. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
68-69°F 47%
70-71°F 42%
80°F or higher 21%
61°F or below 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
16%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
21%
68-69°F 47%
70-71°F 42%
80°F or higher 21%
61°F or below 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Vol.
16%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
15%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$11 Vol.
47%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
42%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
14%
76-77°F
$55 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80°F or higher
$135 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into August 24 with light southwest winds, supporting radiative cooling moderated by the Pacific marine layer and resulting in expected lows in the low 70s°F. Trader consensus clustering on 68–71°F reflects models showing slightly stronger onshore flow or greater nocturnal cooling than the baseline NWS guidance of 73°F, consistent with typical August variability at coastal stations like LAX where sea breezes frequently suppress minima below inland readings. Clear conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could limit cooling toward 72°F or above. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$211End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into August 24 with light southwest winds, supporting radiative cooling moderated by the Pacific marine layer and resulting in expected lows in the low 70s°F. Trader consensus clustering on 68–71°F reflects models showing slightly stronger onshore flow or greater nocturnal cooling than the baseline NWS guidance of 73°F, consistent with typical August variability at coastal stations like LAX where sea breezes frequently suppress minima below inland readings. Clear conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could limit cooling toward 72°F or above. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$211End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into August 24 with light southwest winds, supporting radiative cooling moderated by the Pacific marine layer and resulting in expected lows in the low 70s°F. Trader consensus clustering on 68–71°F reflects models showing slightly stronger onshore flow or greater nocturnal cooling than the baseline NWS guidance of 73°F, consistent with typical August variability at coastal stations like LAX where sea breezes frequently suppress minima below inland readings. Clear conditions favor the lower end of the range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind speed could limit cooling toward 72°F or above. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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