Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project Ankara's minimum temperature on August 27 around 14–18 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure over central Anatolia. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior days' 17–19 °C lows amid stable subsidence and radiative cooling overnight, with limited model spread on wind speed and humidity. The tightly matched market-implied odds near 17–18 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as even small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will provide the next key input for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
18°C 83%
20°C 49%
17°C or below 47%
27°C or higher 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
47%
18°C
83%
19°C
10%
20°C
49%
21°C
20%
22°C
24%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C or higher
41%
18°C 83%
20°C 49%
17°C or below 47%
27°C or higher 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
83%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project Ankara's minimum temperature on August 27 around 14–18 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure over central Anatolia. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior days' 17–19 °C lows amid stable subsidence and radiative cooling overnight, with limited model spread on wind speed and humidity. The tightly matched market-implied odds near 17–18 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as even small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will provide the next key input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project Ankara's minimum temperature on August 27 around 14–18 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure over central Anatolia. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior days' 17–19 °C lows amid stable subsidence and radiative cooling overnight, with limited model spread on wind speed and humidity. The tightly matched market-implied odds near 17–18 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as even small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will provide the next key input for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources project Ankara's minimum temperature on August 27 around 14–18 °C, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry conditions typical of late-summer high pressure over central Anatolia. Recent model runs show modest cooling from prior days' 17–19 °C lows amid stable subsidence and radiative cooling overnight, with limited model spread on wind speed and humidity. The tightly matched market-implied odds near 17–18 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty range, as even small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the 27th will provide the next key input for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions