Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 91–92°F in Miami on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms that often cap daytime maxima. These align closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F (48.5%) and 90–91°F (38.0%) bins, reflecting climatological averages around 89–91°F and the absence of strong ridging or suppressed convection that produced the recent 100°F outlier. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with any stronger storms or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 25?
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 6%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 37%
88-89°F 6%
94-95°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
81°F or below
$17 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$210 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$81 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$81 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$186 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$295 Vol.
37%
92-93°F
$459 Vol.
52%
94-95°F
$163 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$91 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$17 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$97 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 91–92°F in Miami on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms that often cap daytime maxima. These align closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F (48.5%) and 90–91°F (38.0%) bins, reflecting climatological averages around 89–91°F and the absence of strong ridging or suppressed convection that produced the recent 100°F outlier. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with any stronger storms or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,695End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 91–92°F in Miami on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms that often cap daytime maxima. These align closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F (48.5%) and 90–91°F (38.0%) bins, reflecting climatological averages around 89–91°F and the absence of strong ridging or suppressed convection that produced the recent 100°F outlier. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with any stronger storms or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,695End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 91–92°F in Miami on August 25, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate easterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms that often cap daytime maxima. These align closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F (48.5%) and 90–91°F (38.0%) bins, reflecting climatological averages around 89–91°F and the absence of strong ridging or suppressed convection that produced the recent 100°F outlier. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with any stronger storms or clearer skies as the main variables that could shift the outcome by a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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