**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread showers are capping peak temperatures in Shenzhen for August 24.** Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local meteorological reports, and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected throughout the day. Cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling from precipitation further suppresses the afternoon high, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C (26.5 %) and 31 °C (28.5 %). Light southerly winds provide little mixing or advection of hotter air. Forecasters note typical late-summer variability in rain timing, which could allow brief clearing and a slightly higher reading near 32 °C or keep the max closer to 29 °C if showers persist. Updated model runs and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
17%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
31°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$376 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$528 Vol.
1%
28°C
$615 Vol.
6%
29°C
$532 Vol.
12%
30°C
$1,050 Vol.
27%
31°C
$2,016 Vol.
27%
32°C
$736 Vol.
17%
33°C
$668 Vol.
9%
34°C
$469 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$325 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread showers are capping peak temperatures in Shenzhen for August 24.** Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local meteorological reports, and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected throughout the day. Cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling from precipitation further suppresses the afternoon high, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C (26.5 %) and 31 °C (28.5 %). Light southerly winds provide little mixing or advection of hotter air. Forecasters note typical late-summer variability in rain timing, which could allow brief clearing and a slightly higher reading near 32 °C or keep the max closer to 29 °C if showers persist. Updated model runs and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,692End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread showers are capping peak temperatures in Shenzhen for August 24.** Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local meteorological reports, and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected throughout the day. Cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling from precipitation further suppresses the afternoon high, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C (26.5 %) and 31 °C (28.5 %). Light southerly winds provide little mixing or advection of hotter air. Forecasters note typical late-summer variability in rain timing, which could allow brief clearing and a slightly higher reading near 32 °C or keep the max closer to 29 °C if showers persist. Updated model runs and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,692End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread showers are capping peak temperatures in Shenzhen for August 24.** Official and model consensus from sources including WeatherBug, local meteorological reports, and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near 30–32 °C, with moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms expected throughout the day. Cloud cover limits solar heating while evaporative cooling from precipitation further suppresses the afternoon high, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C (26.5 %) and 31 °C (28.5 %). Light southerly winds provide little mixing or advection of hotter air. Forecasters note typical late-summer variability in rain timing, which could allow brief clearing and a slightly higher reading near 32 °C or keep the max closer to 29 °C if showers persist. Updated model runs and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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