Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
23°C 83%
27°C 47%
26°C 45%
25°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
83%
24°C
12%
25°C
44%
26°C
45%
27°C
47%
28°C
25%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
5%
23°C 83%
27°C 47%
26°C 45%
25°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$672 Vol.
1%
22°C
$199 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
83%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$5 Vol.
24%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$886End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$886End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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