Singapore’s tropical equatorial climate typically sees August daytime highs of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon, but a rapidly strengthening El Niño—now with Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +2°C—has shifted conditions toward above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall. National Environment Agency outlooks and recent model consensus highlight drier, sunnier days that promote greater solar heating and elevate maximum temperatures toward 33–34°C. Extended forecasts for August 24 specifically cluster around 32–33°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity patterns consistent with El Niño suppression of convection. These factors underpin trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome at 52% implied probability while keeping 32°C and 34°C as near-term alternatives pending the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
33°C 52%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
52%
34°C
13%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 52%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$181 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$60 Vol.
2%
31°C
$42 Vol.
5%
32°C
$195 Vol.
32%
33°C
$215 Vol.
52%
34°C
$61 Vol.
13%
35°C or higher
$69 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s tropical equatorial climate typically sees August daytime highs of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon, but a rapidly strengthening El Niño—now with Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +2°C—has shifted conditions toward above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall. National Environment Agency outlooks and recent model consensus highlight drier, sunnier days that promote greater solar heating and elevate maximum temperatures toward 33–34°C. Extended forecasts for August 24 specifically cluster around 32–33°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity patterns consistent with El Niño suppression of convection. These factors underpin trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome at 52% implied probability while keeping 32°C and 34°C as near-term alternatives pending the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$943End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s tropical equatorial climate typically sees August daytime highs of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon, but a rapidly strengthening El Niño—now with Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +2°C—has shifted conditions toward above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall. National Environment Agency outlooks and recent model consensus highlight drier, sunnier days that promote greater solar heating and elevate maximum temperatures toward 33–34°C. Extended forecasts for August 24 specifically cluster around 32–33°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity patterns consistent with El Niño suppression of convection. These factors underpin trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome at 52% implied probability while keeping 32°C and 34°C as near-term alternatives pending the next model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$943End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s tropical equatorial climate typically sees August daytime highs of 30–32°C under the southwest monsoon, but a rapidly strengthening El Niño—now with Niño-3.4 indices exceeding +2°C—has shifted conditions toward above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall. National Environment Agency outlooks and recent model consensus highlight drier, sunnier days that promote greater solar heating and elevate maximum temperatures toward 33–34°C. Extended forecasts for August 24 specifically cluster around 32–33°C, with limited cloud cover and humidity patterns consistent with El Niño suppression of convection. These factors underpin trader emphasis on the 33°C outcome at 52% implied probability while keeping 32°C and 34°C as near-term alternatives pending the next model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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