Recent forecasts for Singapore indicate mostly typical equatorial August conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, yet increased cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms projected for August 24 could enhance radiative cooling and briefly depress readings. This uncertainty, combined with historical August minimums rarely dipping below 24°C at official stations, drives the market’s elevated implied probability for 21°C or below while keeping mid-20s outcomes competitive. National Environment Agency guidance notes drier overall trends but highlights potential for localized showers that often correlate with the day’s lowest temperatures; traders appear to weigh model consensus on wind and humidity against the narrow window for any sharp nocturnal drop before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
21°C or below 87%
24°C 35%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
87%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
29%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 87%
24°C 35%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
87%
22°C
$5 Vol.
34%
23°C
$5 Vol.
34%
24°C
$5 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$16 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$5 Vol.
29%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Singapore indicate mostly typical equatorial August conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, yet increased cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms projected for August 24 could enhance radiative cooling and briefly depress readings. This uncertainty, combined with historical August minimums rarely dipping below 24°C at official stations, drives the market’s elevated implied probability for 21°C or below while keeping mid-20s outcomes competitive. National Environment Agency guidance notes drier overall trends but highlights potential for localized showers that often correlate with the day’s lowest temperatures; traders appear to weigh model consensus on wind and humidity against the narrow window for any sharp nocturnal drop before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$46End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Singapore indicate mostly typical equatorial August conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, yet increased cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms projected for August 24 could enhance radiative cooling and briefly depress readings. This uncertainty, combined with historical August minimums rarely dipping below 24°C at official stations, drives the market’s elevated implied probability for 21°C or below while keeping mid-20s outcomes competitive. National Environment Agency guidance notes drier overall trends but highlights potential for localized showers that often correlate with the day’s lowest temperatures; traders appear to weigh model consensus on wind and humidity against the narrow window for any sharp nocturnal drop before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Singapore indicate mostly typical equatorial August conditions, with overnight lows expected near 25–27°C amid the prevailing southwest monsoon, yet increased cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms projected for August 24 could enhance radiative cooling and briefly depress readings. This uncertainty, combined with historical August minimums rarely dipping below 24°C at official stations, drives the market’s elevated implied probability for 21°C or below while keeping mid-20s outcomes competitive. National Environment Agency guidance notes drier overall trends but highlights potential for localized showers that often correlate with the day’s lowest temperatures; traders appear to weigh model consensus on wind and humidity against the narrow window for any sharp nocturnal drop before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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