Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$279 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$33 Vol.
1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
4%
29°C
$62 Vol.
11%
30°C
$69 Vol.
29%
31°C
$122 Vol.
38%
32°C
$37 Vol.
15%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,081End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,081End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late-summer atmospheric conditions over the Korean Peninsula position the Seoul-Incheon area for a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High supports above-average warmth and humidity, while recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) guidance and ensemble model runs indicate daytime peaks in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, consistent with typical late-August climatology (historical averages of ~29–31°C). Updated short-range forecasts over the past 48 hours have converged on this narrow range without signaling a stronger cooling front or heat surge, keeping 31°C as the modal bracket at 38% implied probability. Minor model spreads around cloud cover and wind patterns explain the close 30°C and 32°C probabilities, with traders monitoring the next KMA update for any shifts in the 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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