Current forecasts from agencies and models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds and highs near 30–33°C in Busan on August 24, following a period of above-average early-August heat that peaked above 35°C before recent cooling and scattered showers. Trader emphasis on 34–36°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in peak afternoon readings, driven by variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point levels near 25°C that boost heat index, and minor model spread in steering flow under subtropical high pressure. Historical late-August norms around 29°C and the narrow probability spread among leading bins underscore how small shifts in insolation or local sea-breeze effects could determine the official maximum reported by Korean Meteorological Administration stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 36%
34°C 26%
36°C 22%
33°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
36%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
3%
35°C 36%
34°C 26%
36°C 22%
33°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
36%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies and models indicate mostly sunny conditions with light southwest winds and highs near 30–33°C in Busan on August 24, following a period of above-average early-August heat that peaked above 35°C before recent cooling and scattered showers. Trader emphasis on 34–36°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in peak afternoon readings, driven by variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point levels near 25°C that boost heat index, and minor model spread in steering flow under subtropical high pressure. Historical late-August norms around 29°C and the narrow probability spread among leading bins underscore how small shifts in insolation or local sea-breeze effects could determine the official maximum reported by Korean Meteorological Administration stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions