Recent short-term forecasts for Busan indicate typical late-August marine-influenced conditions, with daytime highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows around 24–26°C, though model spreads introduce uncertainty in the precise daily minimum. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity moderate radiative cooling overnight, while any increase in cloud cover or lingering monsoon moisture could suppress the low by 1–2°C through reduced outgoing longwave radiation. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with elevated odds on 25°C alongside a notable share on 19°C or below, highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in steering patterns or frontal passages. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
19°C or below 66%
22°C 41%
25°C 34%
26°C 28%
19°C or below
66%
20°C
2%
21°C
17%
22°C
41%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
34%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 66%
22°C 41%
25°C 34%
26°C 28%
19°C or below
66%
20°C
2%
21°C
17%
22°C
41%
23°C
23%
24°C
23%
25°C
34%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
22%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Busan indicate typical late-August marine-influenced conditions, with daytime highs near 30–32°C and overnight lows around 24–26°C, though model spreads introduce uncertainty in the precise daily minimum. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity moderate radiative cooling overnight, while any increase in cloud cover or lingering monsoon moisture could suppress the low by 1–2°C through reduced outgoing longwave radiation. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with elevated odds on 25°C alongside a notable share on 19°C or below, highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in steering patterns or frontal passages. Updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will likely refine these thresholds ahead of the 24th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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