National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 66–68 °F for New York City on August 26, supporting the leading 66–67 °F (45.5%) and 64–65 °F (34.0%) bins. Late-August climatology centered on a 66 °F Central Park normal, combined with a building ridge promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling, underpins this positioning. Light southwest flow, dewpoint advection near 60 °F, and minimal cloud cover limit further cooling while the urban heat island prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show only modest spread from sea-breeze timing or patchy high clouds, sustaining trader consensus around the mid-60s without strong catalysts for a shift toward 68–69 °F or below 64 °F. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 26?
66-67°F 45%
64-65°F 34%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
45%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 45%
64-65°F 34%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$21 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
34%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
45%
68-69°F
$803 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
4%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 66–68 °F for New York City on August 26, supporting the leading 66–67 °F (45.5%) and 64–65 °F (34.0%) bins. Late-August climatology centered on a 66 °F Central Park normal, combined with a building ridge promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling, underpins this positioning. Light southwest flow, dewpoint advection near 60 °F, and minimal cloud cover limit further cooling while the urban heat island prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show only modest spread from sea-breeze timing or patchy high clouds, sustaining trader consensus around the mid-60s without strong catalysts for a shift toward 68–69 °F or below 64 °F. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$859End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 66–68 °F for New York City on August 26, supporting the leading 66–67 °F (45.5%) and 64–65 °F (34.0%) bins. Late-August climatology centered on a 66 °F Central Park normal, combined with a building ridge promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling, underpins this positioning. Light southwest flow, dewpoint advection near 60 °F, and minimal cloud cover limit further cooling while the urban heat island prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show only modest spread from sea-breeze timing or patchy high clouds, sustaining trader consensus around the mid-60s without strong catalysts for a shift toward 68–69 °F or below 64 °F. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$859End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 66–68 °F for New York City on August 26, supporting the leading 66–67 °F (45.5%) and 64–65 °F (34.0%) bins. Late-August climatology centered on a 66 °F Central Park normal, combined with a building ridge promoting clear skies and efficient radiative cooling, underpins this positioning. Light southwest flow, dewpoint advection near 60 °F, and minimal cloud cover limit further cooling while the urban heat island prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show only modest spread from sea-breeze timing or patchy high clouds, sustaining trader consensus around the mid-60s without strong catalysts for a shift toward 68–69 °F or below 64 °F. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycle remain the key near-term data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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