Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 26 centers on the typical late-summer pattern of overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by warm Atlantic waters, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling. Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a low near 80–82°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as cloud cover timing, any late-day shower activity, and exact wind speeds, which can alter the minimum by 1–3°F. Historical August averages near 80°F and current model consensus reinforce this range, with traders weighing minor forecast adjustments ahead of the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
$100 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$809 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$144 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$14 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$421 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$126 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
9%
86°F or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 26 centers on the typical late-summer pattern of overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by warm Atlantic waters, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling. Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a low near 80–82°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as cloud cover timing, any late-day shower activity, and exact wind speeds, which can alter the minimum by 1–3°F. Historical August averages near 80°F and current model consensus reinforce this range, with traders weighing minor forecast adjustments ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,928End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 26 centers on the typical late-summer pattern of overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by warm Atlantic waters, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling. Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a low near 80–82°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as cloud cover timing, any late-day shower activity, and exact wind speeds, which can alter the minimum by 1–3°F. Historical August averages near 80°F and current model consensus reinforce this range, with traders weighing minor forecast adjustments ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,928End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on August 26 centers on the typical late-summer pattern of overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by warm Atlantic waters, high humidity, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling. Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a low near 80–82°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 78–81°F bins. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as cloud cover timing, any late-day shower activity, and exact wind speeds, which can alter the minimum by 1–3°F. Historical August averages near 80°F and current model consensus reinforce this range, with traders weighing minor forecast adjustments ahead of the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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