Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in Dallas around 78–83°F under a warm, humid air mass typical of late August, with limited radiational cooling due to high dew points and possible scattered thunderstorms. This positions mid-80s ranges (84–87°F) as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for minimal overnight drops amid highs exceeding 100°F. Recent patterns show no significant cold fronts or tropical influences altering the trajectory, keeping probabilities for 80°F or below lower while capping upside risks from extreme heat. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours could refine these implied odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
98°F or higher 63%
84-85°F 59%
86-87°F 36%
80-81°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
26%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
59%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
33%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
14%
98°F or higher
63%
98°F or higher 63%
84-85°F 59%
86-87°F 36%
80-81°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
59%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
32%
90-91°F
$4 Vol.
33%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
22%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
14%
98°F or higher
$5 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in Dallas around 78–83°F under a warm, humid air mass typical of late August, with limited radiational cooling due to high dew points and possible scattered thunderstorms. This positions mid-80s ranges (84–87°F) as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for minimal overnight drops amid highs exceeding 100°F. Recent patterns show no significant cold fronts or tropical influences altering the trajectory, keeping probabilities for 80°F or below lower while capping upside risks from extreme heat. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours could refine these implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$34End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in Dallas around 78–83°F under a warm, humid air mass typical of late August, with limited radiational cooling due to high dew points and possible scattered thunderstorms. This positions mid-80s ranges (84–87°F) as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for minimal overnight drops amid highs exceeding 100°F. Recent patterns show no significant cold fronts or tropical influences altering the trajectory, keeping probabilities for 80°F or below lower while capping upside risks from extreme heat. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours could refine these implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicate overnight lows in Dallas around 78–83°F under a warm, humid air mass typical of late August, with limited radiational cooling due to high dew points and possible scattered thunderstorms. This positions mid-80s ranges (84–87°F) as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus for minimal overnight drops amid highs exceeding 100°F. Recent patterns show no significant cold fronts or tropical influences altering the trajectory, keeping probabilities for 80°F or below lower while capping upside risks from extreme heat. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours could refine these implied odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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