Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Southwest, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño, is driving unusually warm overnight conditions across coastal Southern California, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures likely holding in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 26. Recent observations confirm overnight lows failing to drop below 68–70°F amid elevated humidity and suppressed marine-layer cooling, pushing trader consensus toward bins near 70–71°F while leaving room for modest marine intrusion or model spread that could allow a dip into the low 60s. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 66°F, highlighting the short-term forecast's sensitivity to boundary-layer details and any last-minute trough influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
70-71°F 58%
61°F or below 55%
64-65°F 48%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
61°F or below
55%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
16%
70-71°F 58%
61°F or below 55%
64-65°F 48%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
61°F or below
$5 Vol.
55%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
48%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$63 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80°F or higher
$5 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Southwest, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño, is driving unusually warm overnight conditions across coastal Southern California, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures likely holding in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 26. Recent observations confirm overnight lows failing to drop below 68–70°F amid elevated humidity and suppressed marine-layer cooling, pushing trader consensus toward bins near 70–71°F while leaving room for modest marine intrusion or model spread that could allow a dip into the low 60s. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 66°F, highlighting the short-term forecast's sensitivity to boundary-layer details and any last-minute trough influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$88End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Southwest, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño, is driving unusually warm overnight conditions across coastal Southern California, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures likely holding in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 26. Recent observations confirm overnight lows failing to drop below 68–70°F amid elevated humidity and suppressed marine-layer cooling, pushing trader consensus toward bins near 70–71°F while leaving room for modest marine intrusion or model spread that could allow a dip into the low 60s. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 66°F, highlighting the short-term forecast's sensitivity to boundary-layer details and any last-minute trough influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Southwest, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño, is driving unusually warm overnight conditions across coastal Southern California, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures likely holding in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 26. Recent observations confirm overnight lows failing to drop below 68–70°F amid elevated humidity and suppressed marine-layer cooling, pushing trader consensus toward bins near 70–71°F while leaving room for modest marine intrusion or model spread that could allow a dip into the low 60s. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 66°F, highlighting the short-term forecast's sensitivity to boundary-layer details and any last-minute trough influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions