Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD show a warm airmass over southern Germany with an approaching low-pressure system and associated fronts expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms on August 28. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17°C at Munich stations. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal drops by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and local observations heavily, given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
17°C 50%
16°C 42%
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
38%
14°C
39%
15°C
40%
16°C
42%
17°C
50%
18°C
39%
19°C
38%
20°C
30%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 50%
16°C 42%
15°C 40%
14°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$27 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
42%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$21 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
30%
21°C
$27 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD show a warm airmass over southern Germany with an approaching low-pressure system and associated fronts expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms on August 28. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17°C at Munich stations. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal drops by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and local observations heavily, given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$103End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD show a warm airmass over southern Germany with an approaching low-pressure system and associated fronts expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms on August 28. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17°C at Munich stations. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal drops by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and local observations heavily, given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$103End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, ICON, and DWD show a warm airmass over southern Germany with an approaching low-pressure system and associated fronts expected to trigger scattered thunderstorms on August 28. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 15–17°C at Munich stations. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance nocturnal drops by 1–2°C. Historical August lows average near 13°C, but the current pattern favors values several degrees above that baseline. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and local observations heavily, given the short two-day horizon to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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