Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 25–27°C in Munich on August 26, with scattered showers and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks from exceeding the mid-20s. Moderate easterly or southerly winds and surface pressures around 1016–1018 hPa further suppress extremes, following cooler conditions on August 25. This uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C—reflected in closely matched market-implied odds—stems from variable precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on the latest observational data and forecast updates. Historical August highs average near 24°C, providing context for the current outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 26?
26°C 33%
27°C 30%
25°C 19%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
33%
27°C
30%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 33%
27°C 30%
25°C 19%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$55 Vol.
2%
24°C
$115 Vol.
5%
25°C
$766 Vol.
19%
26°C
$123 Vol.
33%
27°C
$225 Vol.
30%
28°C
$360 Vol.
7%
29°C
$133 Vol.
2%
30°C
$114 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 25–27°C in Munich on August 26, with scattered showers and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks from exceeding the mid-20s. Moderate easterly or southerly winds and surface pressures around 1016–1018 hPa further suppress extremes, following cooler conditions on August 25. This uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C—reflected in closely matched market-implied odds—stems from variable precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on the latest observational data and forecast updates. Historical August highs average near 24°C, providing context for the current outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,942End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 25–27°C in Munich on August 26, with scattered showers and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks from exceeding the mid-20s. Moderate easterly or southerly winds and surface pressures around 1016–1018 hPa further suppress extremes, following cooler conditions on August 25. This uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C—reflected in closely matched market-implied odds—stems from variable precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on the latest observational data and forecast updates. Historical August highs average near 24°C, providing context for the current outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,942End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a high of 25–27°C in Munich on August 26, with scattered showers and increasing cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks from exceeding the mid-20s. Moderate easterly or southerly winds and surface pressures around 1016–1018 hPa further suppress extremes, following cooler conditions on August 25. This uncertainty between 26°C and 27°C—reflected in closely matched market-implied odds—stems from variable precipitation timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on the latest observational data and forecast updates. Historical August highs average near 24°C, providing context for the current outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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