Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate a high near 22°C for London on August 24, driven by building high pressure promoting clear skies and light winds that allow modest daytime warming from seasonal baselines around 21-23°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with potential for 21°C if residual cloud or a brief sea breeze develops, or 23°C under stronger insolation. These small-scale factors—surface pressure gradients, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any high cloud—create the narrow spread reflected in trader consensus, with new model updates expected to refine resolution criteria within the next 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 37%
21°C 33%
20°C 13%
23°C 13%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
33%
22°C
37%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 37%
21°C 33%
20°C 13%
23°C 13%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
33%
22°C
37%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate a high near 22°C for London on August 24, driven by building high pressure promoting clear skies and light winds that allow modest daytime warming from seasonal baselines around 21-23°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with potential for 21°C if residual cloud or a brief sea breeze develops, or 23°C under stronger insolation. These small-scale factors—surface pressure gradients, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any high cloud—create the narrow spread reflected in trader consensus, with new model updates expected to refine resolution criteria within the next 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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