Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
33°C 28%
35°C or higher 21%
34°C 20%
32°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
18%
33°C
28%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
21%
33°C 28%
35°C or higher 21%
34°C 20%
32°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
1%
30°C
$61 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$61 Vol.
28%
34°C
$30 Vol.
26%
35°C or higher
$136 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$314End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance points to a high near 32–33 °C in Guangzhou on August 24, reflecting the balance of trader probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover or thunderstorms expected to limit daytime solar heating are the dominant controls. Minor differences among ensemble runs—particularly in the timing and extent of convective activity or sea-breeze influence—create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C scenarios. Historical August climatology shows similar variability around a 33 °C mean maximum, underscoring why the market assigns meaningful weight across the 32–35 °C range rather than converging on a single threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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