Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
20°C or below 85%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
85%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 85%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
26°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
85%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C
$5 Vol.
36%
24°C
$15 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$16 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$56End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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