Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
28°C 37%
27°C 21%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
37%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 21%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$25 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$96 Vol.
10%
27°C
$97 Vol.
21%
28°C
$202 Vol.
37%
29°C
$155 Vol.
24%
30°C
$91 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$665End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$665End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a partly cloudy to mostly cloudy regime over Paris on August 26, with southerly to southwesterly flow and light shower chances limiting daytime heating. Ensemble guidance and deterministic runs cluster maximum temperatures in the 27–29 °C range, producing the current market distribution that assigns the highest implied probabilities to 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any cloud breaks during peak insolation hours, boundary-layer moisture from overnight rain, and modest wind speeds that affect mixing; small shifts in these variables can readily move the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France over the next 48 hours will narrow this spread ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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