Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and ensemble models point to an overnight low in Paris near 18–20°C on August 26, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds limits sharp drops, while Paris’s urban heat island and residual warmth from recent daytime highs near 27–29°C moderate the minimum. Model spreads reflect minor differences in expected moisture and steering patterns that could nudge readings a degree either way, keeping 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C nearly even. Historical late-August climatology supports this narrow band, with occasional showers or clearer intervals as the main variables ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
20°C 42%
17°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
12%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
28%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
42%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
8%
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
20°C 42%
17°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$20 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
42%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$20 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and ensemble models point to an overnight low in Paris near 18–20°C on August 26, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds limits sharp drops, while Paris’s urban heat island and residual warmth from recent daytime highs near 27–29°C moderate the minimum. Model spreads reflect minor differences in expected moisture and steering patterns that could nudge readings a degree either way, keeping 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C nearly even. Historical late-August climatology supports this narrow band, with occasional showers or clearer intervals as the main variables ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and ensemble models point to an overnight low in Paris near 18–20°C on August 26, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds limits sharp drops, while Paris’s urban heat island and residual warmth from recent daytime highs near 27–29°C moderate the minimum. Model spreads reflect minor differences in expected moisture and steering patterns that could nudge readings a degree either way, keeping 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C nearly even. Historical late-August climatology supports this narrow band, with occasional showers or clearer intervals as the main variables ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and ensemble models point to an overnight low in Paris near 18–20°C on August 26, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds limits sharp drops, while Paris’s urban heat island and residual warmth from recent daytime highs near 27–29°C moderate the minimum. Model spreads reflect minor differences in expected moisture and steering patterns that could nudge readings a degree either way, keeping 18°C, 19°C, and 20°C nearly even. Historical late-August climatology supports this narrow band, with occasional showers or clearer intervals as the main variables ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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