Traders see the highest temperature in Paris on August 28 as tightly contested around 22–24°C because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France show a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France with light southerly flow, but small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Atlantic moisture advection could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or diurnal heating peaks, keeping probabilities clustered rather than favoring extremes. Historical late-August baselines for Paris average near 23°C, so current guidance aligns with typical late-summer conditions while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range typical two days before the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
23°C 47%
22°C 40%
24°C 19%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
19%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
3%
23°C 47%
22°C 40%
24°C 19%
25°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$30 Vol.
7%
22°C
$25 Vol.
40%
23°C
$25 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C or higher
$52 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Paris on August 28 as tightly contested around 22–24°C because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France show a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France with light southerly flow, but small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Atlantic moisture advection could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or diurnal heating peaks, keeping probabilities clustered rather than favoring extremes. Historical late-August baselines for Paris average near 23°C, so current guidance aligns with typical late-summer conditions while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range typical two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$133End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Paris on August 28 as tightly contested around 22–24°C because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France show a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France with light southerly flow, but small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Atlantic moisture advection could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or diurnal heating peaks, keeping probabilities clustered rather than favoring extremes. Historical late-August baselines for Paris average near 23°C, so current guidance aligns with typical late-summer conditions while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range typical two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$133End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Paris on August 28 as tightly contested around 22–24°C because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France show a modest high-pressure ridge over northern France with light southerly flow, but small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and Atlantic moisture advection could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model runs remain sensitive to exact timing of any weak frontal passage or diurnal heating peaks, keeping probabilities clustered rather than favoring extremes. Historical late-August baselines for Paris average near 23°C, so current guidance aligns with typical late-summer conditions while underscoring the narrow uncertainty range typical two days before the event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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