Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clearing skies following earlier rain have positioned mild conditions for August 30, with official forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicating daytime maxima near 17–19°C under light northeasterly flow. This setup favors modest diurnal warming without strong cold advection or cloud cover limiting insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 20–22°C outcomes aligns with ensemble guidance showing slight upward revisions from climatological averages around 18°C, though inherent model spread and any last-minute steering changes keep 21°C as the modal resolution range. Updated runs ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 38%
20°C 24%
22°C 22%
19°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
24%
21°C
38%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
3%
21°C 38%
20°C 24%
22°C 22%
19°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8 Vol.
2%
18°C
$92 Vol.
3%
19°C
$2 Vol.
9%
20°C
$335 Vol.
24%
21°C
$166 Vol.
38%
22°C
$43 Vol.
22%
23°C or higher
$176 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clearing skies following earlier rain have positioned mild conditions for August 30, with official forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicating daytime maxima near 17–19°C under light northeasterly flow. This setup favors modest diurnal warming without strong cold advection or cloud cover limiting insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 20–22°C outcomes aligns with ensemble guidance showing slight upward revisions from climatological averages around 18°C, though inherent model spread and any last-minute steering changes keep 21°C as the modal resolution range. Updated runs ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$843End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clearing skies following earlier rain have positioned mild conditions for August 30, with official forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicating daytime maxima near 17–19°C under light northeasterly flow. This setup favors modest diurnal warming without strong cold advection or cloud cover limiting insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 20–22°C outcomes aligns with ensemble guidance showing slight upward revisions from climatological averages around 18°C, though inherent model spread and any last-minute steering changes keep 21°C as the modal resolution range. Updated runs ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$843End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stable high-pressure patterns and clearing skies following earlier rain have positioned mild conditions for August 30, with official forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicating daytime maxima near 17–19°C under light northeasterly flow. This setup favors modest diurnal warming without strong cold advection or cloud cover limiting insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 20–22°C outcomes aligns with ensemble guidance showing slight upward revisions from climatological averages around 18°C, though inherent model spread and any last-minute steering changes keep 21°C as the modal resolution range. Updated runs ahead of the daily peak will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions